Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.042588 0.046243 0.049924 0.053905 0.058080 0.062325 0.066959
2025-09-28 0.037867 0.043369 0.049090 0.055459 0.062328 0.069489 0.077497
2025-10-05 0.032646 0.039335 0.046501 0.054692 0.063742 0.073383 0.084379
2025-10-12 0.029206 0.036844 0.045244 0.055068 0.066144 0.078154 0.092072
2025-10-19 0.026671 0.035089 0.044570 0.055882 0.068859 0.083141 0.099910
2025-10-26 0.024361 0.033370 0.043747 0.056358 0.071055 0.087444 0.106908
2025-11-02 0.021141 0.030311 0.041140 0.054568 0.070480 0.088470 0.110091
2025-11-09 0.018998 0.028395 0.039745 0.054068 0.071287 0.090983 0.114888
2025-11-16 0.017229 0.026813 0.038640 0.053812 0.072294 0.093660 0.119820
2025-11-23 0.016451 0.026440 0.038980 0.055271 0.075316 0.098674 0.127461
2025-11-30 0.015672 0.026003 0.039189 0.056529 0.078070 0.103359 0.134717
2025-12-07 0.014753 0.025311 0.039018 0.057271 0.080165 0.107242 0.141022
2025-12-14 0.013700 0.024403 0.038564 0.057678 0.081900 0.110775 0.147028
2025-12-21 0.013101 0.024096 0.038879 0.059058 0.084845 0.115786 0.154831
2025-12-28 0.011708 0.022550 0.037464 0.058143 0.084880 0.117239 0.158359
2026-01-04 0.010870 0.021763 0.037034 0.058478 0.086461 0.120565 0.164139
2026-01-11 0.010262 0.021280 0.036989 0.059296 0.088642 0.124619 0.170801
2026-01-18 0.009594 0.020657 0.036712 0.059777 0.090372 0.128108 0.176778
2026-01-25 0.008283 0.018907 0.034751 0.057912 0.089012 0.127712 0.177968
2026-02-01 0.007467 0.017899 0.033808 0.057390 0.089364 0.129429 0.181733
2026-02-08 0.006785 0.017062 0.033074 0.057123 0.090024 0.131514 0.185943
2026-02-15 0.006601 0.017079 0.033613 0.058636 0.093048 0.136600 0.193892
2026-02-22 0.006377 0.017008 0.034009 0.059942 0.095796 0.141344 0.201429